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The Impact of the LCFS on California's Transportation Fuel Market

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The Impact of the LCFS on California's Transportation Fuel Market

6,995.00

The California Air Resources Board (CARB) has established a Low Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS) designed to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in transportation fuels in order to fight climate change. This regulation is already impacting refiners, consumers, blenders, traders and related companies. PIRA’s latest study will offer insight into this complex policy approach and improve decision-making of key stakeholders.

This study is available for immediate download.

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The California Air Resources Board (CARB) has established a Low Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS) designed to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in transportation fuels in order to fight climate change. This regulation is already impacting refiners, consumers, blenders, traders and related companies. PIRA’s latest study will offer insight into this complex policy approach and improve decision-making of key stakeholders.

This study is available for immediate download.

 

– STUDY FEATURES –

 

A review of the current market and annual forecasts to 2025 for the items below:

  • Currently dominant California fuels – gasoline and diesel consumption and prices.

  • Volume of biofuels by product type to meet Federal and California regulatory requirements. LFCS assessments would also include estimates of natural gas, biogas, electric vehicle and hydrogen usage for compliance.

  • California carbon Cap and Trade Market Allowance price forecast – offering additional price incentives to move away from fossil fuels in transport.

  • Prices of D4 (biomass-based diesel), D5 (advanced biofuels) and D6 (mostly corn-based ethanol) RINs.

  • Forecast Prices of Biodiesel and Renewable Diesel.

  • Discussion of potential values of LCFS Credits.

– STUDY DELIVERABLES AND TIMING –

  • Executive Summary

  • Report in Power Point form including detailed charts and graphs of forecasts 

  • Excel data set available for download

  • Webinar to discuss findings

The final study is available for immediate download. PIRA will present the final results and explain in depth the key takeaways of the study in a live (and later recorded) webinar on March 14, 2017. The results of the study will be addressed by all of the study's authors, who will discuss the specific market implications of these findings. 

– PIRA EXPERTS –

Roman Kramarchuk

Managing Director | Global Power, Emissions and Clean Energy

Roman Kramarchuk is leading efforts to expand PIRA’s environmental /emissions offerings to meet the demand of clients looking for a deeper focus on renewables, technology and policy across the globe. Roman heads up PIRA's Greenhouse Gas Emissions and North American Environmental Markets services, which focus on assessing environmental policies and implications for the energy sector, including specific environmental markets such as the California Cap and trade system. Prior to joining PIRA in 2005, he was at the U.S. EPA, developing key energy emissions regulations at the Clean Air Markets Division. With PG&E NEG and PA Consulting / PHB Hagler Bailly, he evaluated strategies regarding power sector fuel choice and capital investments and advised on asset valuation. Roman also worked on energy sector USAID- and World Bank-funded projects in the FSU and India. He has an M.P.P. from the Kennedy School of Government at Harvard and a B.A. in economics and B.S.E. in systems engineering from the University of Pennsylvania.

 

Dr. Bruce H. Pickover

Senior Director | Global Biofuels

Dr. Bruce H. Pickover manages PIRA’s Global Biofuels Retainer Service. He began his career at ExxonMobil where he worked on petrochemicals and the refinery/chemical interface. Bruce spent 27 years at consulting company Chem Systems, where he was responsible for the Petroleum and Petrochemical Economics (PPE) program, multi-subscriber reports, and commercial proprietary studies. Bruce has a Bachelor’s of Chemical Engineering from the City College of New York and earned an M.Ch.E and a Ph.D. from New York University.

 

Jennifer McIsaac

Director | Emissions and Clean Energy

Jennifer McIsaac follows environmental and regulatory trends, contributing to regular reports on U.S. federal policy initiatives and regional carbon markets as well as conducting special analysis. Prior to joining PIRA in 2001, her experience in the energy industry included positions at NUI Corp., the parent company of several gas utilities, and at Exxon Company International. Ms. McIsaac has a B.A. in mathematics from Drew University and an M.A. in economics from Cornell University.

 

Corey Lavinsky

Director | Global Biofuels

Corey Lavinsky joined PIRA in 2009 and is responsible for tracking and analyzing world biofuels markets. He co-authors all of the team’s reports, including Biofuels Weekly Update, Weekly Ethanol Supply Report, Global Biofuels Monthly Forecast, Biofuels in Developing Markets, and World Biofuels Forecast. Prior to joining PIRA, he was the CEO of Growthink Research, a venture capital research firm. He began his career as an attorney with a prestigious St. Louis law firm. He has a J.D. from the University of Missouri and a B.A. in mathematics from SUNY Binghamton.